ECONOMIC FORECASTING AT BANK OF GREEN – QUESTIONS
Sitting down in your office, coffee in hand, you jot down some questions you think might come up during the day’s discussions. Prepare a report, using the report guidelines from the course website, which
incorporates the answers to these questions.
Q. 1. How does the forecast for 2006 compare with the historical performance of the economy? The spreadsheet Bank of Green, found on the course website, provides quarterly data for nominal and
real GDP. Use this data set to compare the projected quarterly growth rates of the economy during 2006 with the average since 1990 (which measure of GDP do you want to use?). Does this explain why
investors are concerned? Determine the rate of inflation expected for 2006.
Q. 2. Investors are expecting the Federal Reserve to take action. Discuss the strategy you expect the Federal Reserve to follow and broadly what you predict it will do. You would want to analyze the
strategy using aggregate demand-aggregate supply. Of course, you also want to be able to answer the question using less technical language.
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